The Week That Was: 2021-07-17 (July 17, 2021) Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “No one understands quantum mechanics.” – Richard Feynman
Variety of the Week: – 301 in 1913, up 17.6% by 1988, up 39.2% by 2021
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Match for 55: In an article titled “Europe’s Local weather Awe and Shock” the editors of the Wall Road Journal summarize the most recent inexperienced scheme from the leaders of Europe. They start:
“Brussels needs you to know that Europe’s most interesting bureaucrats are Considering Large about local weather change, and on Wednesday they launched a complete regulatory and spending plan to show it. Name it an awe-and-shock technique: They hope voters will probably be so awe-struck at its grand ambitions that they received’t have time to be shocked by what’s in it.
“Known as ‘Match for 55,’ the European Fee says the purpose of its program is to cut back the European Union’s carbon emissions by a minimum of 55% from 1990 ranges by 2030. That is supposed to place Europe on monitor to change into ‘the world’s first climate-neutral continent’ by 2050. The massive Brussels reveal consists of lots of upon lots of of pages of proposed authorized modifications and spending commitments. [Isn’t part of Russia in Europe?]
“The difficulty will probably be what’s within the high-quality print. The headline pledges will probably be tough sufficient. Brussels needs to ban gross sales of recent internal-combustion automobiles by 2035 and topic aviation to the EU’s emissions-trading system—good luck taking a trip on a funds.
“One other proposal requires monumental expenditures to spice up power effectivity. There’s a renewable-energy directive, and an replace to the regulation on land use, forestry, and agriculture (requiring, amongst many different issues, planting three billion timber by 2030).
“Most of this received’t occur quickly, or on this kind. Trade teams began furiously selecting Match for 55 aside earlier than it was even launched. They’ll you should definitely inform the nationwide governments that must approve this legislative Hydra about all of the methods this bundle will probably be dangerous for job creation. They’ve some extent, particularly for industries reminiscent of aviation already almost bankrupted by the pandemic. Governments will quail on the prices as they battle to handle pandemic spending and debt.
“So why suggest one thing so preposterous? Don’t underestimate the extent to which EU bureaucrats—and Europe’s nationwide leaders—actually consider in the reason for eliminating carbon emissions. That is very true in Germany, the place voters and their politicians nonetheless pray to the local weather gods regardless of the mounting prices.
“However don’t underestimate extra cynical explanations. The backdrop for all of it is a new U.S. Administration that additionally needs to speak about its local weather advantage. Brussels could hope that, by speaking up its personal local weather ambitions, it might probably goad President Biden into inflicting on the U.S. financial system prices related to people who already hobble European industries. And if that doesn’t work, Match for 55 features a proposal for a carbon tariff as a diplomatic stick.”
The vital considering exhibited by the European Union to “battle” local weather change is harking back to the vital considering exhibited by the European powers as they rushed off to battle within the superb World Warfare I, with out a compelling risk. The threats have been largely the product of propaganda coupled by self-importance and vanity. So is the specter of carbon dioxide-caused local weather change. Germany got here near executing an excellent plan however fell quick and 4 years of destruction and human slaughter ensued. See hyperlinks beneath Issues within the Orthodoxy and Article # 1.
Blue Planet In Inexperienced Shackles: An impressive response to the EU local weather bundle got here from former Czech president Vaclav Klaus. Lubos Motl supplied a translation. Partly, Klaus wrote:
“This local weather bundle isn’t daring. It’s silly and nonsensical. It’s unrealistic, and if it have been to be applied, it will be a totally harmful bundle. Utterly harmful to the lives, freedom and dwelling requirements of the individuals of Europe.
“That this bundle can do any good for the planet is one thing solely inexperienced activists, solely the advocates of the completely unsustainable doctrine of local weather alarmism, can suppose. Solely individuals who consider in a right away linear and even exponential relationship between the quantity of CO2 within the ambiance and the typical world temperature. I’m not one in every of these deluded people who’ve managed to garner such absurd media protection. Man’s position within the evolution of worldwide temperatures over the long run is totally negligible. Furthermore, CO2 has already performed its potential position in influencing temperatures. The intention of carbon neutrality is an anti-human coverage. It has nearly no connection to temperature.”
As Klaus implies, the bodily proof reveals that human additions of CO2 have a minor impression on earth’s temperature and local weather. This has been proven in quite a few experiments since John Tyndall in 1859. The experiments are confirmed by observations of the ambiance. The speculated amplification from elevated water vapor embodied in world local weather fashions stays hypothesis. International atmospheric temperature tendencies present no such amplification.
Born beneath Fascism (Nazism) and coming of age beneath Communism, Klaus has articulated how harmful authoritarian governments might be, no matter what one labels such perception methods. The Amazon description of his e-book is.
“The most important risk to freedom, democracy, the market financial system, and prosperity in the beginning of the twenty first century is not socialism or Communism. It’s, as an alternative, the bold, smug, unscrupulous ideology of environmentalism. So writes Vaclav Klaus, [former] president of the Czech Republic, in Blue Planet in Inexperienced Shackles: What Is Endangered – Local weather Or Freedom? On this brilliantly argued e-book, Klaus argues that the environmental motion has reworked itself into an ideology that seeks to limit human actions at any value, and that insurance policies being proposed to handle world warming are each economically dangerous — particularly to poor nations — and completely unjustified by present science.”
See hyperlink. beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://www.amazon.com/Blue-Planet-Inexperienced-Shackles-Endangered/dp/1889865095
23 Out Of 25: Researchers from Solar Yat-sen College, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, estimated the power associated greenhouse fuel emissions from 167 cities and located 52 % of the world’s city greenhouse fuel emissions come from solely 25 megacities. Below the rating by most emissions, Moscow is ranked 7 and Tokyo is 17. Twenty-three are in China (together with Hong Kong) and Guangzhou is ranked 13. The best-ranking US metropolis is New York at 26, simply forward of Manilla and Bangkok. The best-ranking EU metropolis is Frankfort, Germany, at 33, slightly below Istanbul, Turkey, and forward of Jakarta, Indonesia. The authors acknowledge the examine has limitations:
“Some limitations and uncertainties must be famous. First, the definitions of ‘city unit’ are numerous and generally inconsistent from cities to cities, which makes it tough to evaluate cities inside the similar geographical scale (inclusion of city areas) and group standing (types of native administration), given the present knowledge. This will introduce uncertainties to the carbon accounts and budgets.” An instance is given.
“Second, the inhabitants knowledge are collected to match with the carbon knowledge and could possibly be topic to some extents of inconsistency.”
Throughout Chairman Mao’s Cultural Revolution (1966 to 1976) city areas have been purged “of capitalist and conventional parts,” tens of millions have been massacred, and famine to the purpose of cannibalism occurred. It’s uncertain that the leaders of China will purge their cities to fulfill the vanity and self-importance of EU Greens. They are going to most likely smile politely and surprise what sort of fools lead the EU to financial destruction. See hyperlinks beneath Issues within the Orthodoxy.
Failure to Appropriate: Roger Pielke Jr. and Justin Ritchie describe how old-fashioned the situations utilized by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) are and the way out of contact with actuality are those that use them. This lack of actuality applies to most research utilizing world local weather fashions. Printed by Points in Science and Know-how the authors write:
“A failure of self-correction in science has compromised local weather science’s skill to supply believable views of our collective future.
“The integrity of science depends upon its capability to supply an ever extra dependable image of how the world works. Over the previous decade or so, severe threats to this integrity have come to gentle. The expectation that science is inherently self-correcting, and that it strikes cumulatively and progressively away from false beliefs and towards fact, has been challenged in quite a few fields—together with most cancers analysis, neuroscience, hydrology, cosmology, and economics—as observers uncover that many revealed findings are of poor high quality, topic to systemic biases, or irreproducible.
After giving an instance of inaccurate analysis on breast most cancers, the authors proceed:
“In 2021, local weather analysis finds itself in a state of affairs just like breast most cancers analysis in 2007. Our analysis (and that of a number of colleagues) signifies that the situations of greenhouse fuel (GHG) emissions by the top of the twenty-first century are grounded in outdated portrayals of the latest previous. As a result of local weather fashions depend upon these situations to venture the long run habits of the local weather, the outdated situations present a deceptive foundation each for growing a scientific proof base and for informing local weather coverage discussions. The persevering with misuse of situations in local weather analysis has change into pervasive and consequential—a lot in order that we view it as probably the most vital failures of scientific integrity within the twenty-first century so far. We’d like a course correction.”
After a prolonged dialogue on errors embodied within the science produced by the IPCC and its followers, the authors state that restoring integrity in local weather science will probably be tough:
“The implications of pervasive, implausible local weather situations prolong far past the IPCC course of and the educational literature these situations have enabled. A continued deal with implausible emissions situations in local weather analysis is a failure of science’s supposed inner high quality assurance mechanisms and thus a failure of scientific integrity. The persistent use of implausible situations introduces error and bias extensively throughout local weather analysis. They’re now woven by the local weather science literature in ways in which will probably be very tough to untangle.”
After extra remarks, the authors conclude with:
“Good science works to deliver society the very best pictures of the true world. The emissions situations of immediately’s local weather science are delivering distorted photos that compromise each understanding and well-informed policymaking. Till the local weather science group addresses this elementary drawback of scientific integrity, its potential to contribute to pragmatic options for the vexing, terribly tough problem of local weather change will probably be unnecessarily compromised. Local weather change has been solved numerous instances in fanciful fashions, however it’s the actual world that issues.” See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy
Fractional Attribution of Threat (FAR): Final week’s TWTW introduced the most recent effort to divert consideration away from details that expose the false predictions of local weather alarmists, Fractional Attribution of Threat (FAR). Writing in Quadrant On-line, Michael Kile describes how World Climate Attribution (WWA) makes use of this method to assert the acute warmth within the northwest US and southwest Canada was human-caused (by CO2 emissions). Kile additionally provides a short historical past:
“All of it started with ACE, the Attribution of Local weather-related Occasions initiative. ACE’s inaugural assembly was held in Boulder, Colorado, January 26, 2009, on the Nationwide Middle for Atmospheric Analysis (NCAR). ACE launched a four-paragraph assertion. Its mission can be “to supply authoritative assessments of the causes of anomalous local weather situations and EWEs”, presumably for the Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC).
“ACE’s ‘conceptual framework for attribution actions’ can be: ‘elevated in precedence and visibility, resulting in substantial will increase in assets (funds, individuals and computer systems).’ Everybody needed to sing from the identical song-sheet:”
Kile makes use of the false “Antarctica’s hottest day” for example. As mentioned in final week’s TWTW, the climate station concerned is outdoors the Antarctic Circle. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
Flawed Heatwave Report: US Pacific northwest meteorologist Cliff Mass goes by a technical examination of the World Climate Attribution report. Mass states that its predominant findings aren’t supported by scientific proof or the supplies within the report. He emphasizes sure claims inside the report are contradicted by different claims inside the report. Mass additionally brings up the IPCC world warming situations, which as Pielke explains above, are worse than ineffective, they’re deceptive.
“It’s clear that this attribution examine was not meant to function an goal examination of a scientific challenge (e.g., the contribution of worldwide warming to the Northwest heatwave) however fairly is an advocacy doc.
“It’s simple to display this. For instance, the primary part of the paper requires instant coverage modifications, together with adaptation and mitigation. The ultimate part “Suggestions” promotes coverage modifications and particular adaptation suggestions. The inconsistency between the dramatic claims of the primary sentence and the extra nuanced materials inside the doc suggests a transparent intention to focus on a message that promotes discover and motion.”
You will need to be aware that NCAR, the place the Attribution of Local weather-related Occasions initiative started, is principally financed by the Nationwide Science Basis. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
Pogo Stick Energy: For the previous a number of weeks, TWTW reported on the modifications in wind energy era as reported by the Bonneville Energy Administration (BPA), which incorporates the Columbia River Gorge “the place the wind at all times blows.” The entire nameplate era is 27,879 MW of which 79.5% is hydro and 10.5% (2930 MW) is wind.
On July 12, wind energy went to zero at mid-day, bounced to over 1500 MW at midnight, again down near zero mid-day on July 13, then bounced round for just a few days. On July 15, at midnight, it was above 2000 MW and bounced between 1800 and 2500 MW till July 17. Then it fell dramatically to close zero at noon and bounced as much as about 1500 MW at midnight.
In looking for BPA’s reply to a query by engineer Paul Kenyon on how the BPA balances the load with out destroying the generators, TWTW was unsuccessful. Nonetheless, it did discover a transcript of a dialogue between Doug Johnson, Public Affairs Specialist and Brian Silverstein, Senior Vice President for Transmission Companies, BPA, titled “Worth of the River – Transmission” dated October 12, 2012. One paragraph is especially germane:
“Anybody who’s traveled by the Columbia River Gorge in recent times is aware of that the Northwest is wealthy with wind energy. However as a result of the quantity of power that the wind produces can fluctuate up or down, second to second, it may be a problem. BPA’s system operators are continually balancing wind energy with power from the dams to keep away from disruptions or energy outages. However the hydro system is at its restrict as the only real supply of balancing, so BPA and others within the power group are in search of revolutionary options to fulfill this problem.” [Boldface added]
The BPA has issues balancing Pogo Stick Energy. See hyperlinks beneath Power Points – US and https://www.bpa.gov/pages/outcomes.aspx?okay=howpercent20doespercent20bpapercent20balancepercent20windpercent20powerpercent3F
Dam Removing: The greens have motivated Indian tribal leaders to name for removing of dams on the Snake River, which incorporates among the dams BPA makes use of for balancing wind energy. The false declare is to avoid wasting salmon and orcas from extinction.
“Neither Snake River sockeye, nor any of the opposite 12 runs of salmon and steelhead since listed for defense beneath the ESA within the Columbia and Snake, have recovered regardless of greater than $17 billion spent to avoid wasting them.
The related Corps of Engineers site states:
“The U.S. Military Corps of Engineers’ Walla Walla District owns and operates the 4 decrease Snake River dams, all of that are multiple-use amenities that present navigation, hydropower, recreation, and fish and wildlife conservation advantages.
“Due to their areas, measurement and talent to assist meet peak energy masses, these 4 dams do way more than generate power–they’re key to holding the system dependable and serving to to fulfill its a number of makes use of — together with supporting wind power. The Snake River dams lie east of the opposite federal mills, so they supply a major technical contribution to transmission grid reliability.
“The Decrease Snake River system of locks and dams ship a major financial profit to the nation. Barging on the inland Columbia Snake River System strikes, on common, roughly 10 million tons of cargo valued at over $3 billion annually. Forty % of the Nation’s wheat transits by this technique.” [Boldface added.]
Salmon runs change from yr to yr and as demonstrated by the fisheries college students who uncovered the Pacific Decadal Oscillation change each 20 to 30 years or so. The web site has graphs displaying yearly counts of grownup fish returns for Chinook, Steelhead, Sockeye, Coho by dam in addition to the rely for lamprey. What’s stunning is how properly these fish have recovered after fish passage enhancements have been made. Additionally, in accordance with NOAA Fisheries, Chinook salmon are the popular fish for southern resident orcas. West Coast Chinook salmon have elevated up to now 50 years. Additional, these calling for removing of the dams make no point out of the rise of protected seals on the mouths of the river methods. See hyperlinks beneath Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science and Power Points – US.
14th ICCC: The 14th Worldwide Convention on Local weather Change introduced by The Heartland Institute will probably be October 15 to 17, 2021, at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. See https://climateconference.heartland.org/
39th Annual Assembly of DDP: The Docs for Catastrophe Preparedness will maintain their 39th annual assembly “Renew, or ‘Reset’?” in Tucson on July 30 to August 1, 2021 on the Doubletree at Reid Park. Three SEPP administrators will probably be giving shows: Willie Quickly, Sunspots: Hindcasting and Forecasting the Photo voltaic Cycle; David Legates, Bloom power: the Theranos of Thermodynamics; and Howard Hayden, The Magic Trick of Local weather Science. Register at http://www.ddponline.org/
SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD
SEPP is conducting its annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are requested to appoint and vote for who they suppose is most deserving, following these standards:
The voting will shut on July 30. Please ship your nominee and a short purpose why the particular person is certified for the dignity to Ken@SEPP.org. The awardee will probably be introduced on the DDP assembly on July 31 or August 1. For a listing of previous recipients and their accomplishments in incomes this honor see http://www.sepp.org/april-fools-award.cfm
Variety of the Week: – 301 in 1913, up 17.6% by 1988, up 39.2% by 2021. The most well liked temperature recorded on Earth was 134 F (56.5 C) Demise Valley, California on July 10, 1913, at Greenland Ranch. Based on NASA-GISS estimates the CO2 focus in 1913 was 301 ppmv (elements per million quantity). The monitoring of CO2 concentrations at Mona Loa, verified by knowledge taken elsewhere, peaks annually in Could.
June 23, 1988 – James Hansen testified to the Senate Committee on Power and Pure Sources, triggering the political worry of worldwide warming. the Could peak CO2 focus was 354 ppmv, up 53 ppmv, 17.6%, since 1913.
In 2021 the Could peak CO2 focus was 419 ppmv, up 188 ppmv, 39.2%, since 1913
It seems that nature doesn’t obey world local weather fashions and local weather pessimists.
https://www.currentresults.com/Climate-Extremes/US/hottest.php, https://knowledge.giss.nasa.gov/modelforce/ghgases/Fig1A.ext.txt, https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/tendencies/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txt, and https://analysis.noaa.gov/article/ArtMID/587/ArticleID/2764/Coronavirus-response-barely-slows-rising-carbon-dioxide
Science: Is the Solar Rising?
Tree rings present document of newly recognized excessive photo voltaic exercise occasion
Press launch by Morgan Rehnberg, American Geophysical Union, July 13, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Hyperlink to paper: A Single-12 months Cosmic Ray Occasion at 5410 BCE Registered in 14C of Tree Rings
By F. Miyake, et al. Geophysical Analysis Letter, June 1, 2021
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
International Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Could 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Will the individuals stand up in opposition to the EU?
By Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, July 16, 2021
New Paper on Out-of-Date Local weather Situations
How Local weather Situations Misplaced Contact With Actuality
A failure of self-correction in science has compromised local weather science’s skill to supply believable views of our collective future.
By Roger Pielke Jr. and Justin Ritchie, Points in Science and Know-how, Summer season 2021
Hyperlink to pdf: https://drive.google.com/file/d/11UMwQ7yBNamp6GI0ONUPrXPpP8smz_xH/view
Flawed Heatwave Report Results in False Headlines in Main Media
Final week we witnessed a significant failure in science communication relating to the Northwest heatwave
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, July 13, 2021
Hyperlink to report: Fast attribution evaluation of the extraordinary heatwave on the Pacific Coast of the US and Canada June 2021.
By Sjoukje Y. Philip, et al. World Climate Attribution, No Date
Warmth waves and sizzling air
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so on. July 15, 2021
How Warmists Bundle Panic
By Michael Kile, Quadrant, July 15, 2021
[SEPP Comment: ICECAP also noted this analysis.]
International Man-made CO2 emissions 1965 – 2020: BP knowledge
By Ed Hoskins, His Weblog, July 2021 [H/t WUWT]
“A superb approach to undermine Western economies is to render their energy era unreliable and costly. That goal of Inexperienced considering is progressively being achieved by Authorities coverage however with out in style voter mandate all through the Western world.”
Consuming much less meat received’t ‘save the planet’
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, July 16, 2021 (Video)
Contained in the Sea Degree Scare Machine
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, July 15, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Illustrations between observed and imaginary trends.]
Defending the Orthodoxy
Greenland Votes to Droop Oil and Uranium Exploration as a result of Local weather Change
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 16, 2021
“Greenland suffers the very best price of youth suicide on the earth, endemic poverty, a complete lack of alternative, and rampant alcohol and drug abuse – probably as a result of they’re principally a authorities handout financial system.”
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Biden administration seeks to reshape main local weather report
By Andrew Freedman, Axios, July 14, 2021
“Such modifications could embrace the event of visible or interactive options to point out how local weather change may have an effect on native communities.”
[SEPP Comment: The last report claimed that the US corn (maize) and soybean production would suffer from warming and Canada will benefit. Yet, the biggest competitor of the US for these grains is tropical Brazil. Perhaps this time it will show flooding of FDR Drive in Manhattan as James Hansen predicted it would occur by now.]
Historic summit of tribes throughout Pacific Northwest presses dam removing on Inslee, Biden, Congress
By Lynda Mapes, Seattle Occasions, July 9, 2021
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Six Info the Left Doesn’t Need You To Know About International Warming
By David Simon, Actual Clear Markets, July 12, 2021
Important US Navy Petroleum Provides
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, July 13, 2021
What Actually Controls The Local weather?
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, July 14, 2021
Earth Nonetheless A lot Colder Than Optimum, Science Exhibits…Lives Can Be Saved By Extra Warming
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, July 14, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Who knows what the optimum is? A balance between cold- and heat-related deaths?]
Inexperienced Power Failures Redux
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, July 16, 2021
Hottest June Ever (Half 2) (Video)
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, July 14, 2021
Change in US Administrations
White Home pronounces new head of local weather evaluation after ousting Trump-era decide
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, July 13, 2021
Biden needed a local weather alliance with Europe. He’s getting a battle.
The European Union’s management is about to unveil a proposal on Wednesday to tax imports from nations — together with the U.S. — that lack aggressive carbon-reducing insurance policies
By Zack Colman, Politico, July 14, 2021
Biden Administration Working To Undermine America
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, July 10, 2021
US and Germany launch local weather partnership
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, July 15, 2021
Hyperlink to truth sheet: FACT SHEET: U.S.-Germany Local weather and Power Partnership
Press Launch, White Home, July 15, 2021
“Local weather Motion: America and Germany will push to lift world local weather ambition and work bilaterally and multilaterally to speed up reaching a net-zero future.”
[SEPP Comment: Global Climate Ambition?]
Issues within the Orthodoxy
European Union rocked by wall of opposition over Web Zero prices
By Employees, Monetary Occasions, By way of GWPF, July 16, 2021
EU wades into battle over its inexperienced revolution
By Alex Pigman, with Julien Girault, Brussels (AFP) July 14, 2021
Simply 25 ‘mega-cities’ produce 52 per cent of the world’s city greenhouse fuel emissions — and 23 of them are in China
By Ian Randall, Each day Mail, July 12, 2021 [H/t Paul deWitt]
Hyperlink to paper: “Conserving Monitor of Greenhouse Fuel Emission Discount Progress and Targets in 167 Cities Worldwide”
By Ting We, Junliang Wu, and Shaoqing Chen, Frontiers in Sustainable Cities, No Date
One other International Warming Reality Alarmists Need Buried
I & I Editorial Board, July 15, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Searching for a Widespread Floor
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so on. July 11, 2021
“We have to remind ourselves that addressing local weather change isn’t an finish in itself, and that local weather change isn’t the one drawback that the world is going through. The target must be to enhance human well-being within the twenty first century, whereas defending the surroundings as a lot as we are able to.”
Media, politicians, and scientists skew local weather knowledge
Obama official concedes it’s unimaginable to foretell the dangers of local weather change
By Anthony Sadar, Washington Occasions July 7, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Review of Steve Koonin’s book]
Unsettling the apple cart I: Koonin on Local weather
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
Feedback on Koonin’s e-book by Ross McKitrick
Fashions v. Observations
Giant-scale wetlands building seen as efficient therapy for farm runoff
Scientists mannequin Mississippi Basin water high quality
Press Launch, NSF, July 14, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Built-in evaluation modeling reveals near-channel administration as cost-effective to enhance water high quality in agricultural watersheds
By Amy T. Hansen, et al. PNAS, July 13, 2021
Scientists discover that almost all nitrogen within the Gulf of Mexico comes from coastal waters
Discovery is essential to understanding the Gulf’s meals internet
Press Launch, NSF, July 13, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Lateral advection helps nitrogen export within the oligotrophic open-ocean Gulf of Mexico
By Thomas B. Kelly, et al. Nature Communications, June 3, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Could it be that the nitrogen rich area at the mouth of the Mississippi, which environmentalists call a “dead zone,” actually benefit sea life in general? See link immediately above.]
Measurement Points — Floor
The Fact About Warmth Waves
By Jim Steele, WUWT, July 12, 2021
NOAA confirms final month was hottest June ever in US
By Sarah Polus, The Hill, July 9, 2021
Hyperlink to press launch: June 2021 was the most well liked June on document for U.S.
Nation has skilled 8 billion-dollar disasters up to now this yr
By Employees, NOAA, July 9, 2021
From press launch: “The primary six months of 2021 additionally introduced eight-billion-dollar climate disasters, starting from harmful extreme climate to a historic deep freeze, in accordance with specialists from NOAA’s Nationwide Facilities for Environmental Data.”
How these 5 cities grew to become essentially the most intense city warmth islands
By Adriana Navarro, AccuWeather, July 15, 2021
Hyperlink to report: Scorching Zones: City Warmth Island
By Employees, Local weather Central, July 14, 2021
[SEPP Comment: There is no excuse for not identifying the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect in US NOAA and NASA-GISS data. It needs to be identified.]
July 16, 1901
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, July 16, 2021
Consists of graph of July 16 Precent of stations Above 95.0F (35.0C) Vs. 12 months 1895-2021
AT All US Historic Climatology Community Stations
Measurement Points — Environment
A CO2 Puzzle
By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, July 12, 2021
“So there’s the thriller. Between CO2, methane and minor greenhouse gases, water vapor, and cloud suggestions, the share absorbed must be growing far quicker than it really is … why isn’t it?”
[SEPP Comment: Nature does not obey man’s models.]
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, July 11, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Photochemical smog is common in the southern Appalachian Mountains in August. It is largely from volatile organic chemicals produced from trees and other plants.]
The lethal warmth wave of July 1936 in the midst of arguably the most well liked decade on document for the US
By Paul Dorian. Peraton Climate, By way of WUWT, July 15, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Includes photos of the dust bowl and temperature records.]
The settled science of unsettled science
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
Why are Northwest Summers So Dry? And a Cool Forecast for the Subsequent Week
Midsummers within the Pacific Northwest are dry on common.
Actually dry. Drier than Phoenix. In my podcast, I inform you why.
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, July 16, 2021
Outdated-school knowledge suggests hurricanes within the Atlantic aren’t extra frequent than up to now
By Bob Yirka, Phys.org. July 14, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Hyperlink to paper Modifications in Atlantic main hurricane frequency for the reason that late-Nineteenth century
By Gabriel A. Vecchi, Christopher Landsea, Wei Zhang, Gabriele Villarini & Thomas Knutson, Nature Communications, July 13, 2021
Keep in mind Portland?
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
Altering Local weather
Melting Glaciers Revealing Historical Tree Stumps from a Hotter Interval
By Ronald Stein, WUWT, July 12, 2021
Altering Local weather – Cultures & Civilizations
Malthusian Delusion Busting: Easter Island Version
By David Middleton, WUWT, July 15, 2021
Coral cells seen engulfing algae for first time
By Employees Writers, Onna, Japan (SPX), Jul 15, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: In vitro Symbiosis of Reef-Constructing Coral Cells With Photosynthetic Dinoflagellates
By Kaz Kawamura, et al. Frontiers in Marine Science,
Examine Tasks a Surge in Coastal Flooding, Beginning in 2030s
By Carol Rasmussen for NASA Earth Information, Pasadena CA (JPL) Jul 08, 2021
“Why will cities on such extensively separated coastlines start to expertise these larger charges of flooding at nearly the identical time? The primary purpose is an everyday wobble within the Moon’s orbit that takes 18.6 years to finish. There’s nothing new or harmful in regards to the wobble; it was first reported in 1728. What’s new is how one of many wobble’s results on the Moon’s gravitational pull – the primary reason behind Earth’s tides – will mix with rising sea ranges ensuing from the planet’s warming.”
[SEPP Comment: Seas have risen by about 120 meters, 400 feet, in the past 20,000 years. Surely NASA can estimate sea level rise over the next 20 years based on actual levels, not imagined levels. Using local tidal gages for sea level rise, the floods can be calculated for various locations.]
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
New Examine: A ‘Profound’ ~1°C Cooling Pattern Throughout East Antarctica Since 1979 Is ‘Possible To Speed up’
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, July 12, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: East Antarctic cooling induced by decadal modifications in Madden-Julian oscillation throughout austral summer season
By Pang-Chi Hsu, AAAS Science Advances, June 23, 2021
NASA House Lasers Map Meltwater Lakes in Antarctica With Hanging Precision
By Employees Writers, Greenbelt MD (SPX), Jul 08, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Illuminating lively subglacial lake processes with ICESat-2 laser altimetry
By M. R. Siegfried & H. A. Fricker, Geophysical Analysis Letter, July 7, 2021
Greenland’s 2021 spring: extra snow, much less soften
Russia races to construct large ice-breakers for Arctic dominance
By Marina Koreneva, Saint Petersburg (AFP) July 15, 2021
To foretell underwater volcano eruptions, scientist appears at pictures from house
By Employees Writers, Hiroshima, Japan (SPX), Jul 12, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Trial of Chemical Composition Estimation Associated to Submarine Volcano Exercise Utilizing Discolored Seawater Coloration Knowledge Obtained from GCOM-C SGLI. A Case Examine of Nishinoshima Island, Japan, in 2020
By Yuji Sakun, Water, Apr 16, 2021
What Is Calcium Carbonate?
By Employees, Industrial Minerals Affiliation – North America, Accessed July 14, 2021
Flue Fuel Scrubbing with Limestone Slurry
By A. Saleem, Journal of the Air Air pollution Management Affiliation, 1972, On-line March 15, 2012
Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine
‘Debate Rages Over Glyphosate’? The Dialog Publishes Horrible Roundup Article
By Cameron English, ACSH, July 7, 2021
Gizmodo: US Wheat Crop Devastated… As a result of Local weather Change
By David Middleton, WUWT, July 14, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
2°C: Past the Restrict
Excessive local weather change has arrived in America
By Steven Mufson , Chris Mooney , Juliet Eilperin and John Muyskens, The Washington Submit, July 13, 2021 [H/t Dennis Ortega]
[SEPP Comment: Much of the “dangerous warming” is in the northern part of the US. Will this stop Americans from moving south?]
Scare tales that didn’t occur
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
China steps up local weather battle with emissions buying and selling scheme
By Poornima Weerasekara, Beijing (AFP), July 16, 2021
“China launched its long-awaited emissions buying and selling system on Friday, a key instrument in its quest to drive down local weather change-causing greenhouse gases and go carbon impartial by 2060.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Local weather change to deliver extra intense storms throughout Europe
Press Launch by Newcastle College, July 16, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Hyperlink to paper: Quasi-Stationary Intense Rainstorms Unfold Throughout Europe Below Local weather Change
By Abdullah Kahraman, et al. Geophysical Analysis Letters, June 30, 2021
From abstract:” Right here, utilizing very detailed local weather simulations (with a 2.2 km grid), we present that the storms producing intense rain throughout Europe may transfer slower with local weather change, growing the period of native publicity to those extremes.” [Boldface added]
Human physique measurement fluctuated in response to local weather change over final million years
By Brooks Hays, Washington DC (UPI), Jul 8, 2021
Potential hyperlink to paper: Completely different environmental variables predict physique and mind measurement evolution in Homo
By Manuel Will, et at. Nature Communications, July 8, 2021
[SEPP Comment: The rule states, that within a broad range, species of larger size are found in colder environments while smaller sizes are in warmer regions. Why are people in the US getting bigger?]
Putin says Russia, US have ‘widespread pursuits’ on local weather change
By AFP Employees Writers, Moscow (AFP), July 14, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Russia agrees that the US should not develop resources in the Arctic?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
SMH: “If inexperienced hydrogen turns into aggressive … fuel costs will plummet”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 12, 2021
The local weather over-under
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
Pesticide Propaganda: A Information To Recognizing Activism Masquerading As Journalism, Half 1
By Cameron English, ACSH, July 12, 2021
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters
A Lecturers’ Information to Miseducating the Younger
By Tony Thomas, Quadrant, June 28, 2021 [H/t Paul Homewood]
Increasing the Orthodoxy
NASA, European House Company be a part of forces on local weather change
By AFP Employees Writers, Paris (AFP), July 13, 2021
“’Local weather change is an all-hands-on-deck, world problem that requires motion — now,’ stated NASA chief Nelson.”
G20 Endorses International Carbon Pricing
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 11, 2021
Questioning European Inexperienced
EU Kicks Off Greatest Push But on Local weather, Braces for a Battle
By Employees, Investing.com, UK, July 15, 2021
EU Unveils Absurd Local weather Change Targets “To Give Humanity A Preventing Probability”
By Tyler Durden, Zero Hedge, July 14, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Charles Moore: Why are we anticipated to desert fuel boilers when the costly various received’t scale back emissions?
By Charles Moore, Each day Telegraph, By way of GWPF, July 10, 2021
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
China will profit when Biden caves to local weather activists: Marc Morano
Morano believes Biden is ‘going to cave’ to progressives on the problem
By Employees, Fox Information, July 13, 2021 [H/t WUWT]
COP26 in bother as Boris Johnson reneges on local weather funds
By Employees, GWPF, July 12, 2012
[UK] Taxpayer May Pay For Abroad Renewable Energy Tasks
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, July 16, 2021
Somalia is Livid They Have Not But Acquired their Local weather Finance
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 15, 2021
23 Complete States Be a part of Lawsuit Towards Biden Administration Over Keystone Pipeline
By Rusty Weiss, Political Insider, June 7, 2021 [Jim Hollingsworth]
Boulder Officers: Truly, Our Local weather Lawsuit Is About Driving “Methods-Degree Change”
By William Allison, Power In Depth, July 14, 2021
Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes
Arnold Schwarzenegger’s ironic warning over local weather change rhetoric
By Susan Shelley, Orange County Register, July 11, 2021 [H/t WUWT]
“The cap-and-trade program operates like a tax. It will increase the price of gasoline, diesel gasoline, electrical energy and warmth, and it raises the value of all the things that’s made or moved in California, the place the excessive value of dwelling has contributed to the very best poverty price within the nation, in accordance with the Census Bureau.
“What has it completed for the local weather?
Subsidies and Mandates Perpetually
Enterprise, labor teams teaming in high-speed rail push
By Mychael Schnell, The Hill, July 15, 2021
“’Rail is local weather infrastructure,’ Ocasio-Cortez stated at a press convention.
“’For each buck that we’re going to place right into a automobile and a bridge, we wish to put a buck right into a rail. We would like fairness. That’s what we’re right here to demand,’ she added.”
Power Points – Non-US
Our first huge win: Ministers delay Web Zero heating plans following disagreements inside authorities
Press Launch, GWPF, July 15, 2021
Power Points – Australia
One other Inexperienced Spruiker Takes AEMO’s Helm
By Alan Moran, Quadrant, July 17, 2021
“Levied on Australia’s annual 500 million tonnes of CO2 neutrality it is a nationwide value of $80 billion a yr. All this to attain an end result that might additionally entail closing a lot of the first and secondary trade which provides us our First World dwelling requirements!”
Power Points — US
Texas’ Wounded Grid: Dependable Mills Name for Public Subsidies (renewables distortion for all to see)
By Robert Bradley Jr. Grasp Useful resource, July 12, 2021
[SEPP Comment: And wind promoters will still claim that wind is the lowest cost of generation, forgetting the need for reliable generation.]
Bonneville Energy Administration
By Employees, BPA.Gov/transmission, Accessed July 17
BPA Balancing Authority Complete Wind Technology, Close to-Actual-Time
BPA Balancing Authority Load and Complete Wind, Hydro, Fossil/Biomass, and Nuclear Technology, Close to-Actual-Time
Decrease Snake River Dams: A Worth to the Nation
By Employees, Corps of Engineers, Walla Walla District, Accessed July 16, 2021
Southern Resident Killer Whales and West Coast Chinook Salmon
By Employees, NOAA Fisheries West Coast Area, 2018
Washington’s Management of Power
One other Biden Administration eco-con
Mr. Biden will “protect 30% of our land” – and blanket America with wind, photo voltaic and landfills
By Paul Driessen, WUWT, July 16, 2021
Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?
Know-how Triumph: Monitor 4A Is POWER’s Plant of the 12 months
By Sonal Patel, Energy Magazine, July 1, 2021
Nuclear Power and Fears
Futile fusion analysis
We should cease losing cash on tokamak fusion, and use if for applications with promise
By Robert Hirsch and Roger Bezdek, WUWT, July 13, 2021
Nuclear Power: Systemic Threat or Local weather Change Treatment
Geoffrey Pohanka Actual Clear Power July 15, 2021
The World’s First Small Nuclear Reactor Is Now Below Building
By Charles Kennedy, Oil Worth.com, July 13, 2021 [H/t Paul deWitt]
[SEPP Comment: Land based, in China. Ignores that the Nautilus was commissioned in 1954.]
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Electrical energy demand rising quicker than renewables: IEA
By AFP Employees Writers, Paris (AFP), July 15, 2021
California strikes to finish unfair $230/yr rooftop photo voltaic subsidy for wealthy
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
How Marginalized Communities within the South Are Paying the Worth for Europe’s ‘Inexperienced Power’ in Europe
By Majilie de Puy Kamp, CNN, July 9, 2021
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Storage
UK’s large battery ‘farms’ spark fears of explosions that may attain temperatures of 660C – even worse than the Beirut port blast – with one professional calling them ‘potential bombs’
By Amy Oliver, Each day Mail, July 10, 2021
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
It’s Time to Unplug the Hype Over Electrical Automobiles
By Robert Bryce, Actual Clear Power, July 11, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Biden’s EV targets could also be fantasy, however the income the swamp is making are actual
By Kelly Sadler, The Washington Occasions, June 29, 2021
For 40% Of The EU And US To Drive EVs, 56,000-70,000 Km² Of Land Should Be Cleared For Wind Generators
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, July 15, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: On the sustainability of electrical autos: What about their impacts on land use?
By Francesco Orsia, Sustainable Cities and Society. March 2021
Reliability-Cautious California Will Procure Extra Power Sources to Get It By way of Summer season
By Sonal Patel, Energy Magazine, July 8, 2021
“…the California Unbiased System Operator (CAISO) on July 1 declared a “vital occasion” and used its backstop capability procurement mechanism (CPM) authority to challenge a solicitation for added capability in the course of the months of July, August, and September. Nonetheless, CAISO officers in a July 2 name advised the numerous occasion could final by October.”
[SEPP Comment: The California Legislation is responsible for the lack of reliable generation.]
Well being, Power, and Local weather
International Warming Is Truly Sparing Lives …Chilly Kills 17 Occasions Extra Than Warmth, In accordance To Lancet!
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, July 13, 2021
Mistaken claims about malaria and world warming
By Employees, GWPF, July 9, 2021
He’s the Mann
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
Secret Otto Engine Automobile For German Inexperienced Occasion Minister…”Vary Nervousness”…”In The Curiosity Of The Nation”
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, July 11, 2021
Different Information that Could Be of Curiosity
Israel and Jordan agree on main water sale, Palestinian commerce
By AFP Employees Writers, Amman (AFP), July 8, 2021
[SEPP Comment: Unable to determine how much water comes from desalination, which has greatly reduced water shortages in Israel, the world leader in desalination.]
Novel good cement can be utilized to construct extra sturdy roads and cities
Incorporating nanomaterials into conventional cement improves water and fracture resistance
Press Launch, NSF, July 13, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Fracture toughness of one- and two-dimensional nanoreinforced cement through scratch testing
By Ange-Therese Akono, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Bodily and Engineering Sciences, June 21, 2021
[SEPP Comment: The term “smart cement” is ridiculous, but the improvement in durability of “the most widely consumed material globally” may be significant.]
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
International Affairs: No Time for Nuclear Energy to Save Us from Local weather Change
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 13, 2021
“Journalistic analysis fail? International Affairs claims wrongly that ‘No nation has developed this [nuclear] expertise to some extent the place it might probably and will probably be extensively and efficiently deployed.’. However two nations, France and Sweden, did simply that within the Nineteen Seventies.”
Scare tales we may do with out
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 14, 2021
Vacationers fined for touching endangered seal in Hawaii
By Caroline Vakil, The Hill, July 14, 2021
“Based on the husband, Stephen, it was the primary time that he and his spouse, Lakyn, had seen the animal, and so they reportedly didn’t know the legal guidelines and enforcement across the endangered species. The couple has acquired demise threats and requested that their final names be withheld, the information outlet reported.”
No matter Occurred To Acid Rain?
By Susan Goldhaber, ACSH, July 9, 2021
“The acid rain story must be studied by each particular person desirous about environmental coverage. The cap-and-trade method is at the moment getting used to assist resolve local weather change within the U.S. and globally. For instance, California instituted a cap-and-trade coverage for carbon emissions, resulting in a gradual decline in carbon dioxide emissions.”
[SEPP Comment: The proven technological solution for sulfur dioxide-caused acid rain was scrubbing flue gas with limestone slurry. There is no such proven solution for CO2 emissions.]
Warming, deforestation flip Amazon into supply of CO2
By Marlowe Hood, Paris (AFP), July 14, 2021
Hyperlink to paper: Amazonia as a carbon supply linked to deforestation and local weather change
By Luciana V. Gatti, et al. Nature, July 14, 2021
Hyperlink to commentary: Southeast Amazonia is not a carbon sink
Atmospheric measurements present that deforestation and fast native warming have diminished or eradicated the capability of the jap Amazonian forest to soak up carbon dioxide — with worrying implications for future world warming.
By Scott Denning, Nature, July 14, 2021
From article” “The Amazon rainforest is one in every of a dozen so-called ‘tipping factors’ within the local weather system.
“Ice sheets atop Greenland and the West Antarctic, Siberian permafrost loaded with CO2 and methane, monsoon rains in South Asia, coral reef ecosystems, the jet stream — all are susceptible to point-of-no-return transitions that might radically alter the world as we all know it.”
[SEPP Comment: What does this do to companies buying carbon credits in rainforest to claim virtue in their actions?]
1. Europe’s Local weather Awe and Shock
Huge new plans that received’t occur however may idiot the U.S.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, July 14, 2021
TWTW Abstract: Along with what’s introduced within the textual content above, the editorial states:
Count on extra of this gamesmanship within the run-up to this autumn’s world local weather confab in Scotland. China on Wednesday unveiled its personal new emissions-trading system, which for now seems meant extra to pacify U.S. local weather envoy John Kerry than to cut back China’s carbon emissions. The UK’s authorities rolled out its personal fanciful plans to cut back emissions tied to transportation.
The purpose is to disgrace Washington into motion. This can be a entice for the unwary. Brussels’s announcement proves bureaucrats are pleased to expend sizzling air speaking about imposing new local weather prices, however not that they’ll have the ability to implement them.